Jimmy Clausen declaring for the University of Notre Dame, April 22 2006 (Picture reproduced from www.collegefootballblog.org under Fair Use)
Sharp Dressed Man
Coming out of High School, Jimmy Clausen was ranked the #1 prospect in the country by Rivals.com. When he declared for Notre Dame on national TV, he arrived at the College Football Hall of Fame in South Bend, Indiana, in a white stretch Hummer limousine, wearing a tux. Even aged 18, one thing was obvious; one thing Clausen did not lack was confidence.
Fast forward a little while to early 2010. Draftniks everywhere were debating which QB would or should be on the way to St. Louis with the #1 pick - Clausen or Sam Bradford. Clausen came from a pro-style offense and had shone, with an incredible 7-1 TD-INT ratio his senior year, but questions lingered about his character. Bradford had been touted to be the #1 pick in 2009 had he declared for the draft. He chose instead to return to Oklahoma for his senior year, and was promptly injured just minutes into the season opener, missing the entire year. He had always looked solid on the field, but the team around him was incredible, the Sooners having one of the strongest overall teams in college football. Clausen also had a talented supporting cast, including now-Seattle Seahawk Golden Tate, and Michael Floyd, who will enter this year's draft. However, Clausen had never had all of his talented weapons available to him at any one time - Floyd especially has a bad injury history, which is still causing his stock to slip as this year wears on.
So the debate was on, Clausen or Bradford? Your humble author sat squarely on the Clausen side of the fence - season-ending shoulder injuries such as the one Bradford suffered just couldn't be good news, and Clausen appeared the most pro-ready college QB in years, while Bradford came out of the spread system, which has rarely been a recipe for NFL QBs. However, as April 22nd neared, it became apparent that, for whatever reason, Steve Spagnuolo's Rams were going to take Bradford. Still, surely Clausen would find a home at another QB-light team?
The Browns took CB Joe Haden. The 49ers stood by Alex Smith (whoops). The Broncos moved up to take Tim Tebow - Clausen would now only be the third QB off the board. The Vikings traded out of the first round for Detroit to take RB Jahvid Best. And then round 1 was over. Jimmy Clausen still had no home. But surely the Vikings would see the need for a long-term Favre replacement... wouldn't they?
With the 48th pick of the 2010 NFL Draft, the Carolina Panthers selected Jimmy Clausen, Quarterback, Notre Dame.
Clausen has struggled in his rookie year for Carolina (Picture reproduced from ffchamps.com under Fair Use)
The Chance of a Lifetime(?)
It was one of the more intriguing situations coming out of the draft. Carolina had just allowed Jake Delhomme to walk, and previous backup Matt Moore, so impressive whenever he had deputised for the mistake-prone veteran, only had one year remaining on his deal. The stage seemed set for Clausen to spend a year understudying Moore, and then take over as franchise QB for the 2011 season. But some things still felt odd. For instance, in the sixth round, Carolina also picked Cincinnati QB Tony Pike. How much trust was Coach John Fox really putting in his new man?
Coach Fox was known to only have a year left on his own deal, and rumoured to be on the hot seat if the Panthers had anything other than a stellar season, especially with rumours that Bill Cowher would like to take on a coaching role closer to home. And, very early in the season, it became apparent that this wasn't going to happen. In the fourth quarter of the Panthers' week 2 contest against Tampa Bay, a floundering, fumbling Matt Moore, who had looked out of sorts in the season opener against the Giants, was benched in favour of Clausen, in hopes that he would inspire a comeback. He did not.
Poor play over the following three games, for which Clausen was named starter, led Moore to be re-instated for the game against the 49ers in week 7. But in week 9, Moore suffered a shoulder injury, and was forced onto Injured Reserve. Then, Clausen got hurt in week 10, being replaced by journeyman Brian St. Pierre for week 11. Coach Fox has since reinstated the now-healthy Clausen as starter for tomorrow's game against the Browns (who, in an interesting twist, will start Jake Delhomme against his former team with the impressive Colt McCoy hurt). But already, with Coach Fox and QB Moore almost certain to be out of a job at the end of the year, and the Clausen-led Panthers at 1-9 and seemingly destined for the #1 pick, people are starting to wonder whether the Panthers' future coach will be forced to plump for Andrew Luck, consigning Clausen to a long list of QB draft busts.
Carolina have hobbled to a 1-9 start in 2010, the worst record in the NFL (Picture reproduced from technorati.com under Fair Use)
Oh, Carolina
But, in truth, Clausen simply hasn't stood a chance. The ‘09 Panthers who went 8-8 did so behind a strong running game. In 2010, this has been nowhere to be seen. DeAngelo Williams, the nominal feature back, is on IR and has been out since hurting his foot in week 7. Even before then, his production was nowhere near his usual high standards. Jonathan Stewart, nominal backup, has also spent a considerable amount of time on the sidelines this year, and hasn't shown his usual near unstoppable power running ability during his limited action. As a result, Carolina have been reduced at times to third-string runner and kick returner Mike Goodson - an unheralded back, who while talented, is no replacement for the thunder-and-lightning tandem of Stewart and Williams. But then, even in the season opener against the Giants, Coach Fox seemed intent on using Goodson in 3rd down situations, and for most of the second quarter - it was almost as though nobody had reminded him that pre-season was over.
On top of this, Coach Fox's job has been hanging by a thread seemingly ever since the Panthers' slow start to the 09 season where Delhomme threw 18 picks through 8 games. And if it wasn't certain before the season, it is now - he won't be Carolina's coach in 2011, and as a result, his total lack of care about his team's performance is showing. No players seem to want to play for him, least of all star wideout Steve Smith, the perpetual sole reliable weapon for Panthers QBs over the past few years, who has played hurt, but seems disgruntled at the lack of success this year.
But perhaps the most telling problem this year has been the offensive line. Franchise LT Jeff Otah underwent supposedly minor surgery on his knee in the offseason, expecting to sit out a few weeks and return to the line-up. However, Otah has since ended up on IR, and his absence has had a profound effect on the team. The O-Line can't keep their QB upright, hence so many injuries, and aren't opening any holes for the running game, forcing (Clausen/Pike/St. Pierre/possibly you next week) to have to try and throw for the game with no protection, and no weapons. Carolina picked up three wideouts in the draft - Brandon LaFell and Armanti Edwards in the 4th round, and David Gettis in the 6th. Of the three, only Gettis has really stepped up to the plate, playing the go-to-guy that Smith so often is. LaFell has shown hands of stone and no route-running ability, and seems destined to be out of the league in a few years. And college QB Edwards has seen very little playing time. Indeed, at one point, the Panthers were forced to use him as their emergency 3rd QB, and he has even been taking snaps at QB in practise. On top of this, tight ends Greg Barnidge, Jeff King and Dante Rosario are not the sort of names that strike fear into the hearts of defenses, and you only have to look at Mark Sanchez and Dustin Keller, Josh Freeman and Kellen Winslow Jr., or Colt McCoy and Ben Watson, to see how valuable a decent receiving option at TE is to a raw quarterback.
Sam Bradford has been impressive for the resurgent Rams (Picture reproduced from www.bleacherreport.net under Fair Use)
What a Difference a Day Makes
The contrast in fortunes between Bradford and Clausen are clear. While Clausen has struggled, Bradford has thrived in St. Louis, and it's no coincidence that second-round pick Rodger Saffold has earned rave reviews for his play at LT. Bradford's offensive line have played superbly, and Bradford has rarely been put under huge pressure, allowing him to impress even with an unheralded receiving corps that first lost Donnie Avery, then relied on journeyman Mark Clayton, and is now led by Danny Amendola of all people. Equally, the dominant running and electric pass-catching ability of Steven Jackson can only be helping his cause, and rookie TE Michael Ho'omanawanu'i (or Illinois Mike to those who don't fancy attempting to pronounce his brilliant surname) is improving week on week. In short, everything that went wrong for Clausen has been going right for Bradford.
We've seen highly-rated QB prospects have their confidence destroyed by a draft day slide before. Clausen's Notre Dame predecessor, Brady Quinn, spectacularly failed in Cleveland and is now riding the pine behind pedestrian Kyle Orton and raw Tim Tebow in Denver. How different things could have been, had Clausen wound up going at #1 as I, for one, believe he should have. I'm not for a moment suggesting that he would have simply lit up the league the way Bradford is doing - I clearly underestimated him and am now eating humble pie. But I very much doubt we'd be seeing him posting an average passer rating in the 40s, as we are now, either.
Could Georgia receiver A.J. Green be the answer Jimmy Clausen needs in Carolina? (Picture reproduced from www.orlandosentinel.com under Fair Use)
Decision Time
So what next for Clausen? It looks as though he will be the starter, barring any more dreadful coaching by Fox, through the end of the season. But if he plays badly, the clamour for Luck may be too much for any new head coach to resist. Assuming, however, that Clausen does retain his starting job going into next year, what can Carolina do to help him succeed where he has struggled this year?
Clearly, the first thing they need to do is get DeAngelo Williams re-signed. His contract expires at the end of the year, and the Panthers' all-time leading rusher is too valuable to allow to leave. But what about the draft? Sadly, with the first pick, unless they plump for DE Da'Quan Bowers, there is no player they can pick who will fill a need and not be a reach. A.J. Green is a standout WR prospect - the best to come out of college since Calvin "Megatron" Johnson - and would make great sense in a "Buffalo" sort of pick range if Carolina can sell them on Andrew Luck. Then, the offensive line becomes the priority. But one thing is for sure - if Carolina can't make these moves, Clausen is set for another tough year in 2011. At this point, perhaps the best thing for him would for him to be cut, and to start over as a third-stringer somewhere where he might have a shot at succeeding.